White students predicted to be in the minority in U.S. public schools by fall 2014

This article also appeared here.

This article also appeared here.

The National Center for Education Statistics released its “Projections of Education Statistics to 2022” with data on enrollment, teachers, graduates, and expenditures. Page 33, Table 3 shows how white students are projected to switch from majority to minority status this fall 2014. Click on the table below to see a larger version.

Source: NCES Table 3

Source: NCES Table 3

I also found it interesting that the high school graduation population is projected to decrease. (The number of high school graduates increased by 27 percent between 1997-98 and 2009-10, and a decrease of 2 percent is projected by 2022-23.) Will that mean it’ll start to get easier to get our kids into college?


POSTED BY Jill Barshay ON February 28, 2014

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[…] Non-Hispanic white enrollment will fall below 50 percent in  U.S. public schools this fall, according to the National Center for Education Statistics. […]

[…] According to the National Center for Education Statistics, non-Hispanic white enrollment will fall below 50 percent in  U.S. public schools this fall. […]

Nicole Hart

Will that mean it’ll start to get easier to get our kids into college?

Jill Barshay

@Nicole Hart. My “kicker” question refers to the overall decline in the high school population. With fewer kids, there might be fewer college applicants and less competition. But it was sort of a light-hearted joke and perhaps not very funny.

Edward

That is true. Demographics expert Jonathan Last points out that the plummeting birth rate has not stopped and will likely continue. This will have huge implications for education and the economy: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIgiOv-VTW8

Nicole Hart

I’m sorry. I’m just repeating your question like i’m wondering how do you say so, I know it was supposed to be a joke. :)

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